Wednesday, 15 March 2017

Jobs Vs Industry4.0

The Fourth Industrial Revolution will mean that, over the next four years, a third of the skills the economy needs will change due to automation. It is therefore impossible to predict which “hard skills” children in today’s classrooms will need for jobs they will enter in 15 years’ time. Who could have conceived two decades ago that there would be a whole new industry in search engine optimization?

Adoption of Industry 4.0 will result in elimination of lower skilled jobs through automation and the increase in productivity could result in an overall reduction in the number of jobs available. With the increased automation levels, Industry 4.0 will result in job migration back to the developed economies which will result in further reduction of jobs in the low cost manufacturing countries. Given high dependence on low skill labor in the BRICS (for example, only 2% of the labor in India is skilled), re-skilling or up-skilling will be required by all the developing countries to make them ready for the new requirements. For countries like South Africa where the unemployment rate is close to 25%, such reduction in the number of jobs would further fuel the challenge. Similar case exists in India where around 10 million additional jobs per year are to be created by 2020 to ensure adequate opportunities for the young population.

Services sector jobs have been the largest absorbent of unemployed youth but with Innovations in AI we may perhaps be inviting mass scale joblessness







Mainstreaming Vocational Education & Training in India


Making India the Skills Capital of the World


The National Policy for Skill Development and Entrepreneurship 2015 which supersedes the policy launched in 2009 has been launched with the primary objective to meet the challenge of skilling at scale with speed, standard (quality) and sustainability.

The challenges faced by the demand and supply side in the Indian skilling space are well known today. Little is known however on why are the stakeholders not able to overcome these barriers. Not acting upon them may gradually lead the youth to an uprising like the Arab Spring. To avoid reaching that stage, we need to engage an estimated 12 million youth being added to the workforce every year meaningfully. And this can be done only when we are able to create jobs at the same pace. Currently the organized sector offers 1.5 – 2 million jobs per year and that is clearly not enough. The new government’s Make in India initiative has definitely helped in boosting job creation. And the latest statistics from a Labour Ministry survey – that shows a 118% increase in job creation in the July - December 2014 period – does endorse that. However job creation or rapid economic growth alone does not ensure jobs for the youth because of several other challenges involved.

The first challenge is to connect the youth to where the jobs are. While the youth population is condensed in the states of UP, Bihar, West Bengal, Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, most of the jobs that are getting created are on the western and southern side in the states of Gujarat, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka. This results in migration and that creates an expectation in terms of improved salary, better living conditions, medical care etc. Given this scenario, though the training providers are able to place the students into decent jobs, their retention becomes a huge problem.

The second challenge is in terms of the mismatch between the aspirations of the youth and industry conditions. With the rise in media awareness, social media and the consumer boom the youth approach training institutions expecting a salary of 20,000 or more and a bit of white collared job. Whereas the salary level in the industry is not up to that mark and most vacancies are for entry level jobs. And at the entry level, the minimum wages in Delhi NCR for example is around 8,000 rupees which is lower than the youth’s expectations thus causing a wide mismatch. 

The third big challenge is in terms of employer/industry engagement. The industry needs to make much more investment into skilling and become an integral part of the VET system in India. In China, industry participation in vocational education and training is ensured through the 1996 Vocational Education Law.

Article 20 from the Chinese Vocational Education Law 1996 states: “Enterprises shall, in accordance with their actual situation, provide vocational education in a planned way for their staff, workers and persons to be employed. Enterprises may jointly run or run on their own vocational schools and vocational training institutions; they may also entrust vocational schools or vocational training institutions with the vocational education of their staff, workers and persons to be employed by them.”

While 85% of the training in China is industry sponsored corresponding to about 39% in India that too has been brought about after the formation of NSDC and its ardent efforts. And it is not only industry’s financial investment into skilling that is required but also the recognition, in the form of paying a premium to a skilled employee, needs to be practiced by the employers. It is only when the industry starts hiring skilled and certified manpower, will there be greater acceptability of vocational courses among the masses.

Though the recent approval of the Apprentices (Amendment) Bill 2014 by both the Houses of Parliament and the launching of the Apprenticeship Protsahan Yojana are major strides ahead in making the employers an integral part of the skills ecosystem. 

The fourth challenge has been addressed partly by the new government through the Common Norms for Skills Development Schemes that was recently approved by the Cabinet. This was regarding the lack of a consistent, easy to understand and operate, national framework for skilling. There are 20 Central Government Ministries that run their own skill development programmes, each with its own norms for different target groups from Minorities to Tribals and PwDs. The common norms are going to define what are the desired outcomes of a skilling programme, minimum number of hours that will constitute a recognized VET programme, cost norms, monitoring and similar parameters. All of these together would contribute in ensuring the delivery of quality skills development programmes. The Common Norms are going to lay the foundation of a sustainable skills development model in India. 

The fifth challenge relates to the affordability of such programmes among the bottom of pyramid groups. And this has also been addressed to a large extent by the government through the introduction of a collateral free Skill Loans system. State Bank of India has already notified the availability of such loans on its website. A large section of the population who are not eligible for any sponsorships under government schemes and do not have paying capacity are going to be hugely benefitted through such loans.

India’s challenge of engaging the estimated 12 million entrants to workforce every year cannot be met by job creation alone. India’s higher education system contributes about 3.5 lakh engineers and 2.5 million university graduates annually to the workforce, an estimated five million graduates remain unemployed at any given time. 8 percent of the total work force in India is employed in the organized sector, while the remaining 92 percent are in the non-formal sector. Hence a lot of emphasis needs to be given to self employment driven programmes, entrepreneurship and training in the non-formal sector. Some of the NSDC training partners have already started to do so by introducing courses in Agri Skills, Entrepreneurship programmes for rural women, artisans and craftsmen, and livelihood generation programmes.

It is expected that the ageing economy phenomenon will globally create a skilled manpower shortage of approximately 56.5 million by 2020 and if we can get our skill development act right, we could have a skilled manpower surplus of approximately 47 million. The Skill India mission with the Prime Minister at the Apex coupled with a framework to deliver training in the non formal sector and a system that will boost entrepreneurship and self employment can lead India to become the Skills Capital of the world!

Germany since 1989

A United Germany stands tall today. And in the event of the #brexit has a very important role to play in stabilising the European economy. Given the prominence of the German economy today, it is indeed very interesting to look back to 1989 when Germany got re-united. 

Margaret Thatcher, the then Prime Minister of Britain had cast serious suspicions on Germany's intentions and had opposed it's reunification in every possible manner. Failing miserably in doing so and admitting it she had said: "If there is one instance in which a foreign policy I pursued met with unambiguous failure, it was my policy on German reunification". 

Today's Germany is very different from then. A country which was helped by the French, British, Americans and the Russians to re-construct itself, has grown to be very accommodating. Its citizens have welcomed 1 million+ refugees and are still counting.. The Ministry of Migration and Refugees is making every effort to ensure that the migrants are able to settle down fast and get a job. Chancellor Merkel is going through a testing time but at the same time demonstrating a lot of courage in taking very bold decisions. 

Having served for 11 long years already...Will she emerge as the Iron Lady of this era!


Learnings from Germany's Waste Management System

As our population surges, civic services are bound to get more stretched.Garbage/waste disposal is one of them.
What we possibly lack is a system, that which is all inclusive and acceptable (not by force but by choice); lack of which often creates chaos in our lives everywhere in India.
The centrepiece of Germany’s Waste Management Act is a five-level waste hierarchy that lays down a fundamental series of steps comprising waste prevention, reuse, recycling, and other elements besides, including energy recovery, and finally waste disposal.
Waste disposal in Germany has perhaps progressed from its disposal to its management.
Separate collection of the various types of waste is done in order to maintain waste-stream specific quality standards for recycling.
Waste is not only separated in residential houses and dormitories, but also at other public places such as the train station. Every household in general has: a green (for bio-degradable waste), a blue (for paper related), a yellow one (for plastic items), a black one (for miscellaneous items) and separate bins for brown, green and white colour glass bottles. The waste has to be sorted according to the material it consists of.
The instrument of product responsibility promulgated by the Waste Management Act defines responsibilities along the product life cycle, as well as incentives for manufacturers to make durable products that generate a minimum amount of waste.
Between 325 and 350 million tons (net) of waste are produced in Germany each year, with construction and demolition waste (including road construction) accounting for 60 percent of this waste, while municipal waste accounts for 14 percent, and hazardous waste for 5 percent.
The Green Dot system has been one of the most successful recycling initiatives, which has literally put packaging on a diet. The crux is that manufacturers and retailers have to pay for a "Green Dot" on products: the more packaging there is, the higher the fee. This clever system has led to less paper, thinner glass and less metal being used, thus creating less garbage to be recycled. The net result: a drastic decline of about one million tons less garbage than normal every year.
The legal framework for waste management in Germany had its beginnings in the early 19th century, when a few regions began adopting waste disposal laws. As the cause and effect relationship between a lack of municipal hygiene and widespread diseases such as cholera became ever clearer, people began to grasp the importance of proper drainage and waste disposal systems, leading to the adoption of appropriate measures in this regard by municipal and regional authorities.


Changing Gender Stereotypyes


In a recently organised panel discussion by the Hertie School of Governance, Berlin & co-hosted by Deutsche Welle on the Success & Challenges for Women at the top in international affairs, we are found here sharing our own story with distinguished women leaders as an example of how visibility and powerful individual stories can play an instrumental role in changing the mindset of our society evidently biased towards the men. The entire discussion can be viewed here http://bit.ly/WIL_video

On the panel are Mr Cyrill Nunn, Director for Human Rights, International Development and Social Affairs at the German Federal Foreign Office, Ms Patricia O’Donovan, Former ILO Assistant Secretary General, Ms Marie Gervais-Vidricaire, Canadian Ambassador to the Federal Republic of Germany and Ms Nina Hall, lecturer at the Hertie School of Governance. This panel, which took place on October 18, 2016, discusses why women are often under-represented in senior leadership and what their institutions are doing to address this situation.

How can we change the mindset contributing more to women's representation in leadership positions